The new numbers give the Ducks a 1.11 chance to make the playoffs based on their latest victories.
That is all mathematically speaking.
If you look at it beyond the math you will see why our chances are higher than that. Firstly, the Ducks are streaking (four straight), They have played 60 minute efforts in each of the past four wins, out of our toughest opponents (including those higher than us in the standings) the Ducks have defeated 3 of the top 8 teams in the west, Teemu got his 600th. Generally, things are looking up for the Ducks.
It isn't over, one win can put the nail in the coffin, but the Ducks are riding the momentum train at the moment and they're riding in style. They fought through key injuries and suspensions to win games (Getzlaf, Ryan, Wisniewski).
Up ahead we do have some challenging teams, but the Ducks found a way to defeat some pretty hot teams.
Our next game vs. Calgary cannot be lost if the Ducks want a chance to sneak in. They can't even go to overtime. The Ducks are 7 points out of the race and Calgary is the closest team to us standings wise.
The Ducks are going to have to keep up the same game style especially since they will play Vancouver and a back to back vs. Los Angeles.
But, the Ducks were on the Brink, and they have shown they will not go down without one hell of a fight.
Teemu Selanne put it perfectly, "As long as we have time, He have hope"
Showing posts with label playoff chances. Show all posts
Showing posts with label playoff chances. Show all posts
Monday, March 22, 2010
Monday, March 15, 2010
Not Done Yet
The Ducks pulled off something last night that no one was expecting. They didn't just beat (dominated is more fitting) the San Jose Sharks 4-2. Well, maybe it wasn't domination, but the Ducks played their game, they played a full 60 minute game where they did not allow San Jose outplay them. This could be a great sign of things to come, and the Ducks last night showed that they are not finished.
But, the ice they are skating on is paper thin. They still have a difficult schedule up ahead, and every point is important. Especially against teams who are also in the hunt. They quite literally can't afford to even lose in overtime in those games. Every point counts.
Getzlaf and Selanne suffered injuries in the game. Getzlaf flared up his former injury and is thankfully day-to-day. Selanne ran into the boards (stalling his chances to get #600)and will run some tests today to check the severity of the injury.
To recap the game, Jonas Hiller put up a great 42 save performance, Perry, Selanne, Ryan, and Visnovsky scored.
The win last night addressed the issue of tanking for Taylor last night. They are obviously not going to do that (yet) and are going to try to pull off the mathmatically almost impossible and make the playoffs. So we can expect lower draft picks this year, whether we make the playoffs or miss them.
The Ducks can do it, there is no doubt. But they need to keep playing the same way they played last night, or better if possible. They need to play 60 minutes every night, sacraficing their bodies to get as many points as possible. The defense needs to help Hiller out, Hiller needs to play like he's in the olympics again, The big line needs to keep contributing, and the bottom 3 lines need to play as well as they can and do everything to keep the puck out of their net and put it into the opponent's.
New playoff odds from ALLDUCKS.com
As of Monday, March 15th, 2010
All Information Derived From sportsclubstats.com and nhl.com
------------------------------
Ducks current statistical probability of making the playoffs: 0.9%
That is UP 0.5% From Yesterday
Record: 31-29-8
Points: 70
Last playoff spot: 78 pts. (Detroit Red Wings)
Pacific Division: 5th
Western Conference: 13th
League: 22nd
To have a better than 50% chance, Ducks need: 11-1-2 or 12-2-0 / .857
To statistically guarantee a playoff spot the Ducks need: 14-0-0 / 100% (98pts)
Games effecting the Ducks today:
Red Team we want to lose.
Numbers show possible increase or decrease in statistical percentage per game.
Possible OT outcomes not displayed, for sake of brevity
Flames / Red Wings
-0.01/0.03
Drop Dead Number: (Any statistical chance of making the playoffs)
8-3-3 or 9-4-1 / .679
But, the ice they are skating on is paper thin. They still have a difficult schedule up ahead, and every point is important. Especially against teams who are also in the hunt. They quite literally can't afford to even lose in overtime in those games. Every point counts.
Getzlaf and Selanne suffered injuries in the game. Getzlaf flared up his former injury and is thankfully day-to-day. Selanne ran into the boards (stalling his chances to get #600)and will run some tests today to check the severity of the injury.
To recap the game, Jonas Hiller put up a great 42 save performance, Perry, Selanne, Ryan, and Visnovsky scored.
The win last night addressed the issue of tanking for Taylor last night. They are obviously not going to do that (yet) and are going to try to pull off the mathmatically almost impossible and make the playoffs. So we can expect lower draft picks this year, whether we make the playoffs or miss them.
The Ducks can do it, there is no doubt. But they need to keep playing the same way they played last night, or better if possible. They need to play 60 minutes every night, sacraficing their bodies to get as many points as possible. The defense needs to help Hiller out, Hiller needs to play like he's in the olympics again, The big line needs to keep contributing, and the bottom 3 lines need to play as well as they can and do everything to keep the puck out of their net and put it into the opponent's.
New playoff odds from ALLDUCKS.com
As of Monday, March 15th, 2010
All Information Derived From sportsclubstats.com and nhl.com
------------------------------
Ducks current statistical probability of making the playoffs: 0.9%
That is UP 0.5% From Yesterday
Record: 31-29-8
Points: 70
Last playoff spot: 78 pts. (Detroit Red Wings)
Pacific Division: 5th
Western Conference: 13th
League: 22nd
To have a better than 50% chance, Ducks need: 11-1-2 or 12-2-0 / .857
To statistically guarantee a playoff spot the Ducks need: 14-0-0 / 100% (98pts)
Games effecting the Ducks today:
Red Team we want to lose.
Numbers show possible increase or decrease in statistical percentage per game.
Possible OT outcomes not displayed, for sake of brevity
Flames / Red Wings
-0.01/0.03
Drop Dead Number: (Any statistical chance of making the playoffs)
8-3-3 or 9-4-1 / .679
Sunday, March 14, 2010
Ducks Playoff Chances (One Last Time?)
This from Allducks.com
Ducks current statistical probability of making the playoffs: 0.4%
That is DOWN 0.1% From Yesterday
Record: 30-29-8
Points: 68
Last playoff spot: 78 pts. (Detroit Red Wings)
Pacific Division: 5th last again
Western Conference: 13th
League: 22nd
To have a better than 50% chance, Ducks need: 12-1-2 / .604
To statistically guarantee a playoff spot the Ducks need: 15-0-0 / 100% (98pts)
Games effecting the Ducks today:
Red Team we want to lose.
Numbers show possible increase or decrease in statistical percentage per game.
Possible OT outcomes not displayed, for sake of brevity
Sharks / Ducks
-0.1/0.4
Wild / Blues
-0.02/0.04
Stars / Avs
-0.07/0.07
Drop Dead Number: (Any statistical chance of making the playoffs)
10-4-1 / .700
0.4%...not even one percent chance. Put it in the books folks. If the Ducks fall tonight it's over. If they win but the teams we need to lose win, it's over. So...what do you think, time to tank for Taylor?
Ducks current statistical probability of making the playoffs: 0.4%
That is DOWN 0.1% From Yesterday
Record: 30-29-8
Points: 68
Last playoff spot: 78 pts. (Detroit Red Wings)
Pacific Division: 5th last again
Western Conference: 13th
League: 22nd
To have a better than 50% chance, Ducks need: 12-1-2 / .604
To statistically guarantee a playoff spot the Ducks need: 15-0-0 / 100% (98pts)
Games effecting the Ducks today:
Red Team we want to lose.
Numbers show possible increase or decrease in statistical percentage per game.
Possible OT outcomes not displayed, for sake of brevity
Sharks / Ducks
-0.1/0.4
Wild / Blues
-0.02/0.04
Stars / Avs
-0.07/0.07
Drop Dead Number: (Any statistical chance of making the playoffs)
10-4-1 / .700
0.4%...not even one percent chance. Put it in the books folks. If the Ducks fall tonight it's over. If they win but the teams we need to lose win, it's over. So...what do you think, time to tank for Taylor?
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