Monday, March 15, 2010

Not Done Yet

The Ducks pulled off something last night that no one was expecting. They didn't just beat (dominated is more fitting) the San Jose Sharks 4-2. Well, maybe it wasn't domination, but the Ducks played their game, they played a full 60 minute game where they did not allow San Jose outplay them. This could be a great sign of things to come, and the Ducks last night showed that they are not finished.

But, the ice they are skating on is paper thin. They still have a difficult schedule up ahead, and every point is important. Especially against teams who are also in the hunt. They quite literally can't afford to even lose in overtime in those games. Every point counts.

Getzlaf and Selanne suffered injuries in the game. Getzlaf flared up his former injury and is thankfully day-to-day. Selanne ran into the boards (stalling his chances to get #600)and will run some tests today to check the severity of the injury.

To recap the game, Jonas Hiller put up a great 42 save performance, Perry, Selanne, Ryan, and Visnovsky scored.

The win last night addressed the issue of tanking for Taylor last night. They are obviously not going to do that (yet) and are going to try to pull off the mathmatically almost impossible and make the playoffs. So we can expect lower draft picks this year, whether we make the playoffs or miss them.

The Ducks can do it, there is no doubt. But they need to keep playing the same way they played last night, or better if possible. They need to play 60 minutes every night, sacraficing their bodies to get as many points as possible. The defense needs to help Hiller out, Hiller needs to play like he's in the olympics again, The big line needs to keep contributing, and the bottom 3 lines need to play as well as they can and do everything to keep the puck out of their net and put it into the opponent's.

New playoff odds from ALLDUCKS.com
As of Monday, March 15th, 2010

All Information Derived From sportsclubstats.com and nhl.com

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Ducks current statistical probability of making the playoffs: 0.9%
That is UP 0.5% From Yesterday

Record: 31-29-8
Points: 70
Last playoff spot: 78 pts. (Detroit Red Wings)
Pacific Division: 5th
Western Conference: 13th
League: 22nd

To have a better than 50% chance, Ducks need: 11-1-2 or 12-2-0 / .857


To statistically guarantee a playoff spot the Ducks need: 14-0-0 / 100% (98pts)


Games effecting the Ducks today:

Red Team we want to lose.
Numbers show possible increase or decrease in statistical percentage per game.
Possible OT outcomes not displayed, for sake of brevity


Flames / Red Wings
-0.01/0.03



Drop Dead Number: (Any statistical chance of making the playoffs)

8-3-3 or 9-4-1 / .679

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