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Ranking OCR's list of potential 2011 Ducks Draftees

Ok these are my…well…they were supposed to be quick. Quick rankings and analysis of OC register's list of prospects we may draft in this year's entry draft. Since the playoffs ended, all I've done that relates to hockey is draft research. I can't really call myself an expert but I can say I have a good amount of knowledge at this point. Anyway enjoy. Contact me on twitter with questions, comments, criticsms. Whatever. @DucksFanZone.

 

JAMIE OLEKSIAK, D, NORTHEASTERN (NCAA): Our system has plenty of D, true. Normally I'd put a forward first, but our system lacks physicality and shut down D (Mat Clark is a huge question mark) and you can't pass on a guy that might be the next Zdeno Chara. The rest of the available D in the draft is passable. As in…we should pass on them. I've done research into the 2012 draft, and in terms of defense, there's enough well known talent to fill up the first and half of the second round.

 

MATT PUEMPEL, LW, PETERSBOROUGH (OHL): Most scouts agree that he is the best goal-scorer in the entire draft. Even though other areas of his game are lacking, they can be amended with a few more years at the junior level. Even if he never pans out as a top 6 guy, he can provide us with depth offense, a team need we've had for years

 

MARK SCHEIFELE, C, BARRIE (OHL): Ranked by some to be top 10. We should jump on this guy if we can. The only reason I have him ranked 3^rd is because he really looks like a Peter Holland clone who just did more to impress in his draft year, and my #'s 1 and 2 just seem like better fits in Anaheim, in my opinion.

 

JOHN GIBSON, G, U.S. UNDER-18 (NTDP): The only goalie I would justify taking in the first round. He's that good. And he's going to get better. He's better than the Pickard's and the Campbell's, and with Hiller hurt, and our G pipeline is pretty awful, this would be a great pick for us.

 

BOONE JENNER, C, OSHAWA (OHL): I'd say the same goes for Jenner as it did for Scheifele. He looks like he's got really Boom potential, but equal bust potential.

 

ZACK PHILLIPS, C, SAINT JOHN (QMJHL): Maybe it's not so great I have him ranked so low, but he is a bit of a late riser. He had 95 points at the Q level, and was instrumental in his team's Memorial Cup win. My only reservations are, that he comes from the QMJHL. I'm not so sure how well he would have performed in an OHL team, particularly one that wasn't so stacked. He wouldn't be a bad pick by any stretch. In face he probably will go earlier than 22. But I have certain doubts. Maybe he'll prove me wrong.

 

NICKLAS JENSEN, LW/RW, OSHAWA (OHL): Jensen would be a pretty good pick but not a great pick like the players listed above him. He puts up decent numbers and can play either wing. And offensive depth is a pretty big team need, as Sexton and Beleskey didn't quite work out.

 

BRANDON SAAD, LW, SAGINAW (OHL): Many fans want to draft Saad with the 22cd pick. But I have serious reservations about him. With all the time on my hands I've gotten to read scouting reports, draft previews, watch draft video. And he's received praise from some, and red flags from others. And my overall opinion has left me very unimpressed and scared that he will end up being a bust. Every player that I've researched has something going for them…one area that stands out. I really don't see any in Saad. In Murray we trust. Should we pick him, I hope he proves me wrong.

 

VLADISLAV NAMESTNIKOV, C, LONDON (OHL): One of the few players who just simply remains a mystery. The Russian factor will play a role. And he's another player who in all my scouting left me somewhat unimpressed.

 

TOMAS JURCO, RW, SAINT JOHN (QMJHL): Dynamic. Skillful. Creative. Master of the highlight-reel. Memorial Cup winning hero. Lazy. Inconsistent. Slow. Disappears for much of the game. All these have been used to describe Tomas Jurco. And as many pros as there are…the cons are scary. According to scouts, if we thought that Getzlaf and Holland were inconsistent and lazy, Jurco would teach us new meanings of the word. That means that the bust value is higher than the boom. Whoever does draft this guy is taking a big gamble and is drafting on name value. Can't have Couturier or RNH? JURCO!JURCO!JURCO!

 

SCOTT MAYFIELD, D, YOUNGSTOWN (USHL): As I said earlier 2012 is already panning out to produce the most NHL quality defensemen ever. Defensemen WILL fall this year (although don't plan on us picking Siemens, Beaulieu, Murphy, etc). And Mayfield has been getting lots of praise. But it's all very late praise. Despite being called the poor man's Chris Pronger, he doesn't play amongst top forwards that you find in the CHL or even the NCAA. He is reserved to playing USHL hockey where it isn't to hard for a draft eligible player to stand out. But that doesn't mean the scouts can't envision him in NHL situations. I just don't view this as a good pick at 22. Maybe if we had the 35^th pick, I'd be excited to take him. Hell if he falls all the way to 52 I'll be jumping for joy. But 22? No sir. 

 

JOE MORROW, D, PORTLAND (WHL): Not sure what to think of Morrow. Again, all the praise has come in rather late, and my opinion is that he is not better than Mayfield. Basically wherever Mayfield will go, Morrow should go lower than that. I don't envision him ever playing in the NHL. There is a drop off outside the top 10 in terms of talent, many believe. Drafting this year will require looking at who has the most. Not who MAY have more down the line. And sadly for Morrow, I see him being a second rounder.

 

 

And now the guys that we may draft (or may be available) that the OCR left out, without the reports because…well…I've got stuff to do :P Whoever our pick will be, you can be sure I will analyze.

 

LD Jonas Brodin – Farjestad (SEL)

LW Stefan Noesen – Plymouth (OHL)

LD Oscar Klefbom – Farjestad (SEL)

LC Alexander Khokhlachev – Windsor (OHL)

RW Ty Rattie – Portland (WHL)

 LD David Musil – Vancouver (WHL)

 

My Notes on a Wild Wednesday night

First of all, this is going to be a very disjointed, unprofessional blog. The night started with the Chicago- St. Louis game. Chicago won in overtime by virtue of a completely illegal goal. Firstly, hossa clearly kicked the puck, he lined up his skate blade, pulled his foot back, and kicked the rubber like a soccer ball. The puck then hits the post and slides across the line, never completely crossing it. The war room in Toronto deemed it a good goal. Had it not gone in STL could've easily won. Check out the game highlights, decide for yourself. Me, I decided, and I flamed TSN's Bob McKenzie because he seemed to defend the goal. I sent him about 10 tweets with the expectation that he'd never reply. Well he did, and he wasn't amused with my rage. Perhaps I overreacted, but this is serious business. Hossa kicked the puck like a soccer ball and it never went in. If you can't conclude that the puck crossed the line, you call no-goal, not the other way around. And the decision should've been made quickly after hossa's clear, most blatant example of a distinct kicking motion. Points hung in the balance for team's like Dallas and Anaheim. Had events played out correctly, Anaheim would've separated themselves from Chicago, and Dallas wouldn't feel as much pressure to do or die. Ok my rant here is over. Now for a string of random notes. First of all, this was perfect revenge for the game Saturday, a perfect effort given by the team, and perfect turnaround by Carlyle. Pretend it's April 2010, right now. Most of us are researching the draft and praying we pick Etem with the 12th pick. What would YOU do if I told you we would draft Cam Fowler with the 12th pick? Well last night he pulled a goal and an assist to give him 10 goals and 40 points. That's out of his draft year. C4 has outproduced Drew Doughty, Erik Johnson, and Victor Hedman's (all dmen who started the NHL at the age of 18). Those are terrific numbers for any defenseman, and the scary/great thing is: he's only going to get better. Ryan Whitney...if you can, make a mental tribute video to his "amazing" play in Anaheim. Now look at Visnovsky, top dman in the league, and Norris contender. We got THAT for Ryan Whitney. 3 more points for 70 on the year. I don't know how the NHL can justify giving the Norris to Lidstrom over Lubo. Ever play Black Ops zombies? You know the one zombie with no legs, that you let crawl around while you rack up points for the next round? Calgary was the West's handicapped zombie. Anaheim put in the kill shot. It is now impossible for them to make the playoffs. Ducks need one more win to clinch, or two OTLs, a Dallas loss, or two Chicago losses. 2 points is all we need. Captain Getzlaf continues to stay hot...he's been racking up points almost as well as CP. He's on pace for 94 points (well that's what he'd have if he played all 82). Can't believe all the posts I saw from Ducks fans demanding Getzlaf to be traded. I believe he's back to being a dynamic force on the ice. Teemu. Everything that needs to be said about this season for #8 has been said. But he needs one more goal to have 30 on the season, giving us 2 30 goal players. MVPerry. This game was a statement for CP's run at the Hart. He's getting serious recognition from big time names. Not to mention HFboards (check my timeline for a link to a CP thread. 90% of the posters give it to Perry, 50% give it to him despite their boldly stated disdain for him).  I want to start by apologizing to Perry. I never viewed him as special. I appreciated what he did, but for whatever reason I found it hard to love him as a player. Something was missing. He showed me he had that something all along. The way he stepped up and carried this team, and inspired the lineup...he never quit on the season. I'll love him for it forever.  I won't make my case for why Perry should win the Hart, other than a quick summary. He deserves to win because he produces almost as well as D. Sedin, but he didn't have supporters like H. Sedin behind him the whole time. CP did more, and meant more to his team than Danny end of story. He needs 4 points (assuming Danny goes cold) to win the Art Ross. At that point if he still doesn't win I'll be shocked. (that sounded like I did make my case, but I coulda written a novel on the topic) Lastly, the manner in which the Hatty was scored was very epic. He needed 3 to be the first player to hit 50. He did it against our potential 1st round matchup, in a must win, revenge game. Each goal scored brought down louder chants of MVP, which was bone chilling in and of itself. And who else to assist on his 50th goal? Teemu Selanne, the last Duck to get 50, and the first winner of the Maurice Rocket Richard (known for his 50 goal seasons) trophy. Perry kept the 50 goal trend every year since the lockout, going (brainfart, grammar fail). There's no better way to celebrate 50 then a downpour of hats. Looking forward, the Ducks play an injured and ailing L.A kings team in a home in home double header series. They need 2 points out of 4 to erase last year's failure. Thank you for reading. Hope you had more fun than me last night. Cause I was flying.

The Home stretch: Race for the Cup

First blog in quite some time here. Most of what I would have blogged about has been put into tweets anyway. We all know the Ducks are poised to make the playoffs this year, after missing last year's big game. Hopefully everyone is aware of how tight the Western playoff race is this year. If you don't, to give you an idea: the Ducks were one win away from being 3rd in the west. 3 pretty brutal losses later, they find themselves 10th in the West. They are also one of 5 teams that have 68 points.  22 games now remain in the Ducks season. Like it or not, this is the final stretch. In a western conference where every game counts, the Ducks must either step up, or falter once again. Sportsclubstats tell us how many points are needed to make the playoffs. 93 points=a 53.4% chance to make the playoffs, 94 points=77.7%, 95=92.6% 96=98.3 97=99.8 98 points and higher mean making the playoffs are a certainty. The site also says that to win the Pacific division they will need at least 102 points, and 107 points to clinch it. The Ducks, at the present time are on pace for 93 points. Below is an expanded breakdown of records from this point to get to a certain point total. 95 points.     96 points.   97 points 12-7-3        13-7-2.     13-6-3 11-6-5        12-6-4.      12-5-5 10-5-7        11-5-6.      11-4-7 9-4-9.          10-4-8.      10-3-8 98 points      99 points.    100 pts.     14-6-2.        14-5-3.      15-5-2.      13-5-4.        13-4-5.      14-4-4.      12-4-6.        12-3-7.      13-3-6.      11-3-7.        11-2-8.      12-2-8.      Ducks have 22 games left. 21 vs Teams in the west. 10 vs. Pacific teams.  Remaining schedule+record vs team LAK 1-1-0  MIN 1-1-1  COL 1-0-0   DET 0-3-0 DAL 2-1-0 VAN 2-0-1 NYR 0-0-0 COL 1-0-0 PHO 3-2-0 STL 1-2-1 LAK 1-1-0 CGY 2-0-0 DAL 2-1-0 NAS 1-2-1 CHI   1-1-1 COL.  1-0-0 CGY. 2-0-0 SJS 2-2-0 DAL 2-1-0 SJS 2-2-0 LAK 1-1-0 LAK 1-1-0 Of all the losses the Ducks have been in, only 4 were not in regulation. The Ducks have now pushed enough losses to overtime, that is why other teams in the West have an advantage over them. If they want to make the playoffs, even if they just barely skate in (2010 Philadelphia Flyers style) they will need to ensure that if they cannot come on top they need to try to pull at least one point out of games. They need to continue to find ways to win. No matter what deviation of required records you run, almost every time the wins outweigh the losses acceptable. Each facet of the team must rise to the occasion, the defense, the offense, and the goaltending. Getting lucky wins can get you into the playoffs, but you need to know how to really win once you get there.  They have 22 games to get it together. They have 22 games to solidify their team identity. They have 22 games to make amends for last season's failures. They have 22 games to earn their ticket to the big show. The rest of the season is now behind us. That portion of the year put us in contention. The race for the cup starts now.